An overview of risk prediction models and the implications for nursing practice

Chronic heart failure is a common and costly condition and is one of the most common causes of hospitalisation and emergency department presentations in the elderly. This paper discusses risk prediction models in chronic heart failure, their utility in clinical practice and describes the implications for nursing practice. Based on a review of the literature, a description is presented of current risk models for chronic heart failure; the use of risk models in other conditions and the benefits of applying valid and reliable measurement tools in clinical practice. Consideration is given for clinical as well as non-clinical factors being incorporated into risk prediction models.