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Geopolitical Conflict, Geoeconomic Manoeuvring, and the Law of the Jungle: Are We Witnessing the End of the Liberal Trading Order?

  • University of Melbourne
  • La Trobe University
  • The University of Sydney

Research output: Chapter in Book / Conference PaperChapterpeer-review

Abstract

This chapter argues that the postwar liberal trading order is being destroyed by geopolitical conflict and geoeconomic manoeuvring. Developing country preferences politicised and fragmented the WTO. Major powers now struggle over rule-making through super-RTAs (TPP/CPTPP, RCEP, IPEF) serving geopolitical aims, while geoeconomic coercion—exemplified by superpowers’ bullying behaviour towards smaller countries—exploits WTO gaps by avoiding formal measures. Trump 2.0 represents a qualitative shift: open disregard for multilateral rules through unjustified tariffs and attacks on the system itself. The chapter concludes that we are witnessing the end of the liberal trading order, with fragmentation into regional blocs (EU, CPTPP, RCEP) likely unless states relearn the dangers of abandoning multilateral disciplines.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationEconomics, Law, and Institutions in Asia Pacific
PublisherSpringer
Pages11-32
Number of pages22
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2026
Externally publishedYes

Publication series

NameEconomics, Law, and Institutions in Asia Pacific
VolumePart F1612
ISSN (Print)2199-8620
ISSN (Electronic)2199-8639

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2026.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth
  2. SDG 12 - Responsible Consumption and Production
    SDG 12 Responsible Consumption and Production
  3. SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals
    SDG 17 Partnerships for the Goals

Keywords

  • Economic Coercion
  • Fairer Trade
  • Geoeconomics
  • Geopolitics
  • Liberalism
  • Trump 2.0

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