Abstract
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 459-480 |
Number of pages | 22 |
Journal | The Lancet Neurology |
Volume | 18 |
Issue number | 5 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2019 |
Open Access - Access Right Statement
© The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.Keywords
- Alzheimer’s disease
- death
- nervous system
- world health
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In: The Lancet Neurology, Vol. 18, No. 5, 2019, p. 459-480.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990–2016 : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
AU - Feigin, Valery L.
AU - Nichols, Emma
AU - Alam, Tahiya
AU - Bannick, Marlena S.
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AU - Piccininni, Marco
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AU - Abbasi, Nooshin
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AU - Abdelalim, Ahmed
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AU - Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola
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AU - Al-Eyadhy, Ayman
AU - Al-Shahi salman, Rustam
AU - Alahdab, Fares
AU - Alene, Kefyalew Addis
AU - Aljunid, Syed Mohamed
AU - Altirkawi, Khalid
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AU - Behzadifar, Masoud
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AU - Deribe, Kebede
AU - Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda
AU - Diaz, Daniel
AU - Dinberu, Mesfin Tadese
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AU - Dubljanin, Eleonora
AU - Duken, Eyasu Ejeta
AU - Edvardsson, David
AU - El-Khatib, Ziad
AU - Endres, Matthias
AU - Endries, Aman Yesuf
AU - Eskandarieh, Sharareh
AU - Esteghamati, Alireza
AU - Esteghamati, Sadaf
AU - Farhadi, Farzaneh
AU - Faro, Andre
AU - Farzadfar, Farshad
AU - Farzaei, Mohammad Hosein
AU - Fatima, Batool
AU - Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad
AU - Fernandes, Eduarda
AU - Feyissa, Garumma Tolu
AU - Filip, Irina
AU - Fischer, Florian
AU - Fukumoto, Takeshi
AU - Ganji, Morsaleh
AU - Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho
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AU - Gebre, Abadi Kahsu
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AU - Gelaw, Belayneh K.
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AU - Gill, Paramjit Singh
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AU - Gnedovskaya, Elena V.
AU - Goulart, Alessandra C.
AU - Grada, Ayman
AU - Grosso, Giuseppe
AU - Guo, Yuming
AU - Gupta, Rahul
AU - Gupta, Rajeev
AU - Haagsma, Juanita A.
AU - Hagos, Tekleberhan B.
AU - Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin
AU - Haj-Mirzaian, Arya
AU - Hamadeh, Randah R.
AU - Hamidi, Samer
AU - Hankey, Graeme J.
AU - Hao, Yuantao
AU - Haro, Josep M.
AU - Hassankhani, Hadi
AU - Hassen, Hamid Yimam
AU - Havmoeller, Rasmus
AU - Hay, Simon I.
AU - Hegazy, Mohamed I.
AU - Heidari, Behnam
AU - Henok, Andualem
AU - Heydarpour, Fatemeh
AU - Hoang, Chi Linh
AU - Hole, Michael K.
AU - Rad, Enayatollah Homaie
AU - Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa
AU - Hu, Guoqing
AU - Igumbor, Ehimario U.
AU - Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen
AU - Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi
AU - Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful
AU - Jakovljevic, Mihajlo
AU - Javanbakht, Mehdi
AU - Jha, Ravi Prakash
AU - Jobanputra, Yash B.
AU - Jonas, Jost B.
AU - Jóźwiak, Jacek Jerzy
AU - Jürisson, Mikk
AU - Kahsay, Amaha
AU - Kalani, Rizwan
AU - Kalkonde, Yogeshwar
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AU - Kanchan, Tanuj
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AU - Kassa, Zemenu Yohannes
AU - Kaul, Anil
AU - Kefale, Adane T.
AU - Keiyoro, Peter Njenga
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AU - Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif
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AU - Bicer, Burcu Kucuk
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AU - Lacey, Ben
AU - Lafranconi, Alessandra
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AU - Latifi, Arman
AU - Leshargie, Cheru Tesema
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AU - Liao, Yu
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AU - Lorkowski, Stefan
AU - Lotufo, Paulo A.
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AU - McAlinden, Colm
AU - McGrath, John J.
AU - Mehta, Varshil
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AU - Meles, Hagazi Gebre
AU - Meles, Addisu
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AU - Memish, Ziad A.
AU - Mendoza, Walter
AU - Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese
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AU - Mohammadi, Moslem
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AU - Mondello, Stefania
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AU - Moradinazar, Mehdi
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AU - et al, null
PY - 2019
Y1 - 2019
N2 - Background: Neurological disorders are increasingly recognised as major causes of death and disability worldwide. The aim of this analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 is to provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the global, regional, and national burden from neurological disorders. Methods: We estimated prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; the sum of years of life lost [YLLs] and years lived with disability [YLDs]) by age and sex for 15 neurological disorder categories (tetanus, meningitis, encephalitis, stroke, brain and other CNS cancers, traumatic brain injury, spinal cord injury, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron diseases, idiopathic epilepsy, migraine, tension-type headache, and a residual category for other less common neurological disorders) in 195 countries from 1990 to 2016. DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was the main method of estimation of prevalence and incidence, and the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) was used for mortality estimation. We quantified the contribution of 84 risks and combinations of risk to the disease estimates for the 15 neurological disorder categories using the GBD comparative risk assessment approach. Findings: Globally, in 2016, neurological disorders were the leading cause of DALYs (276 million [95% UI 247–308]) and second leading cause of deaths (9·0 million [8·8–9·4]). The absolute number of deaths and DALYs from all neurological disorders combined increased (deaths by 39% [34–44] and DALYs by 15% [9–21]) whereas their age-standardised rates decreased (deaths by 28% [26–30] and DALYs by 27% [24–31]) between 1990 and 2016. The only neurological disorders that had a decrease in rates and absolute numbers of deaths and DALYs were tetanus, meningitis, and encephalitis. The four largest contributors of neurological DALYs were stroke (42·2% [38·6–46·1]), migraine (16·3% [11·7–20·8]), Alzheimer's and other dementias (10·4% [9·0–12·1]), and meningitis (7·9% [6·6–10·4]). For the combined neurological disorders, age-standardised DALY rates were significantly higher in males than in females (male-to-female ratio 1·12 [1·05–1·20]), but migraine, multiple sclerosis, and tension-type headache were more common and caused more burden in females, with male-to-female ratios of less than 0·7. The 84 risks quantified in GBD explain less than 10% of neurological disorder DALY burdens, except stroke, for which 88·8% (86·5–90·9) of DALYs are attributable to risk factors, and to a lesser extent Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (22·3% [11·8–35·1] of DALYs are risk attributable) and idiopathic epilepsy (14·1% [10·8–17·5] of DALYs are risk attributable). Interpretation: Globally, the burden of neurological disorders, as measured by the absolute number of DALYs, continues to increase. As populations are growing and ageing, and the prevalence of major disabling neurological disorders steeply increases with age, governments will face increasing demand for treatment, rehabilitation, and support services for neurological disorders. The scarcity of established modifiable risks for most of the neurological burden demonstrates that new knowledge is required to develop effective prevention and treatment strategies. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
AB - Background: Neurological disorders are increasingly recognised as major causes of death and disability worldwide. The aim of this analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 is to provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the global, regional, and national burden from neurological disorders. Methods: We estimated prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; the sum of years of life lost [YLLs] and years lived with disability [YLDs]) by age and sex for 15 neurological disorder categories (tetanus, meningitis, encephalitis, stroke, brain and other CNS cancers, traumatic brain injury, spinal cord injury, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron diseases, idiopathic epilepsy, migraine, tension-type headache, and a residual category for other less common neurological disorders) in 195 countries from 1990 to 2016. DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was the main method of estimation of prevalence and incidence, and the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) was used for mortality estimation. We quantified the contribution of 84 risks and combinations of risk to the disease estimates for the 15 neurological disorder categories using the GBD comparative risk assessment approach. Findings: Globally, in 2016, neurological disorders were the leading cause of DALYs (276 million [95% UI 247–308]) and second leading cause of deaths (9·0 million [8·8–9·4]). The absolute number of deaths and DALYs from all neurological disorders combined increased (deaths by 39% [34–44] and DALYs by 15% [9–21]) whereas their age-standardised rates decreased (deaths by 28% [26–30] and DALYs by 27% [24–31]) between 1990 and 2016. The only neurological disorders that had a decrease in rates and absolute numbers of deaths and DALYs were tetanus, meningitis, and encephalitis. The four largest contributors of neurological DALYs were stroke (42·2% [38·6–46·1]), migraine (16·3% [11·7–20·8]), Alzheimer's and other dementias (10·4% [9·0–12·1]), and meningitis (7·9% [6·6–10·4]). For the combined neurological disorders, age-standardised DALY rates were significantly higher in males than in females (male-to-female ratio 1·12 [1·05–1·20]), but migraine, multiple sclerosis, and tension-type headache were more common and caused more burden in females, with male-to-female ratios of less than 0·7. The 84 risks quantified in GBD explain less than 10% of neurological disorder DALY burdens, except stroke, for which 88·8% (86·5–90·9) of DALYs are attributable to risk factors, and to a lesser extent Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (22·3% [11·8–35·1] of DALYs are risk attributable) and idiopathic epilepsy (14·1% [10·8–17·5] of DALYs are risk attributable). Interpretation: Globally, the burden of neurological disorders, as measured by the absolute number of DALYs, continues to increase. As populations are growing and ageing, and the prevalence of major disabling neurological disorders steeply increases with age, governments will face increasing demand for treatment, rehabilitation, and support services for neurological disorders. The scarcity of established modifiable risks for most of the neurological burden demonstrates that new knowledge is required to develop effective prevention and treatment strategies. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
KW - Alzheimer’s disease
KW - death
KW - nervous system
KW - world health
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/1959.7/uws:52056
U2 - 10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30499-X
DO - 10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30499-X
M3 - Article
SN - 1474-4422
VL - 18
SP - 459
EP - 480
JO - The Lancet Neurology
JF - The Lancet Neurology
IS - 5
ER -