Abstract
We question the empirical foundation of keeping inflation at 5% or below in developing economies. Using System Generalized Method of Moments we investigate the issue in the context of 14 Asian developing countries for the period 1961-2010. We find no robust empirical justification for targeting inflation at such a low level. The inflation threshold for these countries is found around 13% and it may range between 7% and 14% depending on the level of development. The findings suggest that developing countries can gain from moderate levels of inflation and should not be alarmed when inflation crosses the 5% benchmark.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 604-628 |
Number of pages | 25 |
Journal | Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy |
Volume | 19 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2014 |
Keywords
- Asia
- developing countries
- inflation (finance)
- macroeconomic policy making
- panel data
- poverty