Machine learning prediction of drying shrinkage for alkali-activated materials and multi-objective optimization

Lei Zhang, Dehui Zhu, Moncef L. Nehdi, Afshin Marani, Dongmin Wang, Dapeng Zheng, Gulbostan Tursun, Zhu Pan, Junfei Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

The aim of this study is to perform multi-objective optimization of alkali activated materials (AAMs) through a machine learning approach, focusing on three key factors: drying shrinkage, cost and CO2 emission. Five machine learning models were trained and evaluated based on 1383 hybrid design data, and the results showed that the gradient boosted regression (GBR) model performed best in terms of prediction accuracy. The main factors affecting the drying shrinkage of AAMs, including curing time, the content of SiO2 and Na2O in sodium silicate, and the ratio of fly ash to slag content, were identified through the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method and sensitivity analysis. Further, a multi-objective optimization model was constructed by combining the GBR model and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) algorithm while considering drying shrinkage, cost and CO2 emission. The model can help researchers and engineers to quickly design and optimize the ratios of AAMs to meet practical engineering needs.

Original languageEnglish
Article number112326
JournalMaterials Today Communications
Volume45
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2025
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Elsevier Ltd

Keywords

  • Alkali-activated materials
  • Drying shrinkage
  • Machine learning
  • Multi-objective optimization
  • NSGA-II

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