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Modelling EUR/USD return volatility incorporating long run co-movements in exchange rates and US economic indicators

  • H. A. Pathberiya
  • , C. D. Tilakaratne
  • , L. L. Hansen
  • , R. S. Lokupitiya

Research output: Chapter in Book / Conference PaperConference Paperpeer-review

Abstract

The nature of long-run co-movements in exchange rates is informative, since it permits participants at the foreign exchange market to gain excess profits from trades. In this study an attempt was made to improve the predictions of Euro against US dollar (EUR/USD) return volatility resulted from GARCH models by incorporating cointegrated exchange rates into the model using exchange rates at five minute frequency in 2013.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the International Statistics Conference, IASSL 2014: Statistics & Society in the New Information Age: Challenges and Opportunities, December 28-30, 2014, Galadari Hotel, Colombo Sri Lanka
PublisherInstitute of Applied Statistics
Pages55-55
Number of pages1
Publication statusPublished - 2014
EventInternational Statistics Conference -
Duration: 1 Jan 2014 → …

Conference

ConferenceInternational Statistics Conference
Period1/01/14 → …

Keywords

  • foreign exchange rates
  • economic indicators
  • cointegration
  • GARCH model
  • volatility

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