Multi-scale simulation modeling for prevention and public health management of diabetes in pregnancy and sequelae

Yang Qin, Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Atkinson, Weicheng Qian, Anahita Safarishahrbijari, Nathaniel D. Osgood

Research output: Chapter in Book / Conference PaperConference Paperpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

![CDATA[Diabetes in pregnancy (DIP) is an increasing public health priority in the Australian Capital Territory, particularly due to its impact on risk for developing Type 2 diabetes. While earlier diagnostic screening results in greater capacity for early detection and treatment, such benefits must be balanced with the greater demands this imposes on public health services. To address such planning challenges, a multi-scale hybrid simulation model of DIP was built to explore the interaction of risk factors and capture the dynamics underlying the development of DIP. The impact of interventions on health outcomes at the physiological, health service and population level is measured. Of particular central significance in the model is a compartmental model representing the underlying physiological regulation of glycemic status based on beta-cell dynamics and insulin resistance. The model also simulated the dynamics of continuous BMI evolution, glycemic status change during pregnancy and diabetes classification driven by the individual-level physiological model. We further modeled public health service pathways providing diagnosis and care for DIP to explore the optimization of resource use during service delivery. The model was extensively calibrated against empirical data.]]
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationSocial, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling: Proceedings of the 12th International Conference, SBP-BRiMS 2019, Washington, DC, USA, July 9-12, 2019
PublisherSpringer Nature
Pages256-265
Number of pages10
ISBN (Print)9783030217402
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2019
EventInternational Conference on Social Computing_Behavioral-Cultural Modeling_and Prediction and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation -
Duration: 9 Jul 2019 → …

Publication series

Name
ISSN (Print)0302-9743

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference on Social Computing_Behavioral-Cultural Modeling_and Prediction and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation
Period9/07/19 → …

Keywords

  • complications
  • diabetes in pregnancy
  • discrete-time systems
  • intelligent agents (computer software)
  • prevention
  • risk factors

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