Public health utility of cause of death data : applying empirical algorithms to improve data quality

Sarah Charlotte Johnson, Matthew Cunningham, Ilse N. Dippenaar, Fablina Sharara, Eve E. Wool, Kareha M. Agesa, Chieh Han, Molly K. Miller-Petrie, Shadrach Wilson, John E. Fuller, Shelly Balassyano, Gregory J. Bertolacci, Nicole Davis Weaver, Jalal Arabloo, Alaa Badawi, Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula, Katrin Burkart, Luis Alberto Cámera, Felix Carvalho, Carlos A. Castañeda-OrjuelaJee-Young Jasmine Choi, Dinh-Toi Chu, Xiaochen Dai, Mostafa Dianatinasab, Sophia Emmons-Bell, Eduarda Fernandes, Florian Fischer, Ahmad Ghashghaee, Mahaveer Golechha, Simon I. Hay, Khezar Hayat, Nathaniel J. Henry, Ramesh Holla, Mowafa Househ, Segun Emmanuel Ibitoye, Maryam Keramati, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Yun Jin Kim, Adnan Kisa, Hamidreza Komaki, Ai Koyanagi, Samantha Leigh Larson, Kate E. LeGrand, Xuefeng Liu, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, Bahram Mohajer, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Reza Mohammadpourhodki, Shafiu Mohammed, Farnam Mohebi, Ali H. Mokdad, Mariam Molokhia, Lorenzo Monasta, Mohammad Ali Moni, Muhammad Naveed, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Andrew T. Olagunju, Samuel M. Ostroff, Fatemeh Pashazadeh Kan, David M. Pereira, Hai Quang Pham, Salman Rawaf, David Laith Rawaf, Andre M. N. Renzaho, Luca Ronfani, Abdallah M. Samy, Subramanian Senthilkumaran, Sadaf G. Sepanlou, Masood Ali Shaikh, David H. Shaw, Kenji Shibuya, Jasvinder A. Singh, Valentin Yurievich Skryabin, Anna Aleksandrovna Skryabina, Emma Elizabeth Spurlock, Eyayou Girma Tadesse, Mohamad-Hani Temsah, Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone, Bach Xuan Tran, Gebiyaw Wudie Tsegaye, Pascual R. Valdez, Prashant M. Vishwanath, Giang Thu Vu, Yasir Waheed, Naohiro Yonemoto, Rafael Lozano, Alan D. Lopez, Christopher J. L. Murray, Mohsen Naghavi

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

62 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background: Accurate, comprehensive, cause-specific mortality estimates are crucial for informing public health decision making worldwide. Incorrectly or vaguely assigned deaths, defined as garbage-coded deaths, mask the true cause distribution. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study has developed methods to create comparable, timely, cause-specific mortality estimates; an impactful data processing method is the reallocation of garbage-coded deaths to a plausible underlying cause of death. We identify the pattern of garbage-coded deaths in the world and present the methods used to determine their redistribution to generate more plausible cause of death assignments. Methods: We describe the methods developed for the GBD 2019 study and subsequent iterations to redistribute garbage-coded deaths in vital registration data to plausible underlying causes. These methods include analysis of multiple cause data, negative correlation, impairment, and proportional redistribution. We classify garbage codes into classes according to the level of specificity of the reported cause of death (CoD) and capture trends in the global pattern of proportion of garbage-coded deaths, disaggregated by these classes, and the relationship between this proportion and the Socio-Demographic Index. We examine the relative importance of the top four garbage codes by age and sex and demonstrate the impact of redistribution on the annual GBD CoD rankings. Results: The proportion of least-specific (class 1 and 2) garbage-coded deaths ranged from 3.7% of all vital registration deaths to 67.3% in 2015, and the age-standardized proportion had an overall negative association with the Socio Demographic Index. When broken down by age and sex, the category for unspecified lower respiratory infections was responsible for nearly 30% of garbage-coded deaths in those under 1 year of age for both sexes, representing the largest proportion of garbage codes for that age group. We show how the cause distribution by number of deaths changes before and after redistribution for four countries: Brazil, the United States, Japan, and France, highlighting the necessity of accounting for garbage-coded deaths in the GBD.
Original languageEnglish
Article number175
Number of pages20
JournalBMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
Volume21
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021

Open Access - Access Right Statement

© The Author(s) 2021. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

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