TY - JOUR
T1 - Simulating the dynamic effect of land use and transport policies on the health of populations
AU - McClure, Roderick J.
AU - Adriazola-Steil, Claudia
AU - Mulvihill, Christine
AU - Fitzharris, Michael
AU - Salmon, Paul
AU - Bonnington, C. Paul
AU - Stevenson, Mark
PY - 2015
Y1 - 2015
N2 - Objectives: We identified the features of a land use-transportation system that optimizes the health and well-being of the population. Methods: We developed a quantitative system dynamics model to represent relationships among land use, transport, economic development, and population health. Simulation experiments were conducted over a 10-year simulation period to compare the effect of different baseline conditions and land use-transport policies on the number of motor vehicle crash deaths and disability adjusted life years lost. Results: Optimal reduction in the public health burden attributable to land transport was demonstrated when transport safety risk reduction policies were combined with land use and transport polices that minimized reliance on individual motorized transport and maximized use of active transport modes. The model's results were particularly sensitive to the level of development that characterized each city at the start of the simulation period. Conclusions: Local, national, and international decision-makers are encouraged to address transport, land use, and health as an integrated whole to achieve the desired societal benefits of traffic safety, population health, and social equity.
AB - Objectives: We identified the features of a land use-transportation system that optimizes the health and well-being of the population. Methods: We developed a quantitative system dynamics model to represent relationships among land use, transport, economic development, and population health. Simulation experiments were conducted over a 10-year simulation period to compare the effect of different baseline conditions and land use-transport policies on the number of motor vehicle crash deaths and disability adjusted life years lost. Results: Optimal reduction in the public health burden attributable to land transport was demonstrated when transport safety risk reduction policies were combined with land use and transport polices that minimized reliance on individual motorized transport and maximized use of active transport modes. The model's results were particularly sensitive to the level of development that characterized each city at the start of the simulation period. Conclusions: Local, national, and international decision-makers are encouraged to address transport, land use, and health as an integrated whole to achieve the desired societal benefits of traffic safety, population health, and social equity.
UR - https://hdl.handle.net/1959.7/uws:72898
UR - https://www.proquest.com/scholarly-journals/simulating-dynamic-effect-land-use-transport/docview/1667668314/se-2?accountid=36155
U2 - 10.2105/AJPH.2014.302303
DO - 10.2105/AJPH.2014.302303
M3 - Article
SN - 0090-0036
VL - 105
SP - S223-S229
JO - American Journal of Public Health
JF - American Journal of Public Health
IS - Suppl. 2
ER -